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Gartner Predicts Major Changes in IT Industry
By
ChannelTimes Staff
International Desk, Feb 1, 2008
Wide acceptance of open-source technology by vendors, preference for new internet-centric pocketable devices at the sub-$400 level to notebooks by people-on-the-go, increase in spending on service subscription instead of on product license, and emphasis on green credentials to retain preferred supplier status, among others, are some of the developments predicted by Gartner for 2008 and beyond.
The predictions highlight areas where executives and IT professionals need to take action in 2008. The full impact of these trends may not appear this year, but executives need to act now so that they can exploit the trends for their competitive advantage, the research company said.
Daryl Plummer, managing vice president and Gartner Fellow, said, "Selected from across our research areas as the most compelling and critical predictions, the trends and topics they address this year indicate a strong focus on individuals, the environment, and alternative ways of buying and selling IT services and technologies These areas of focus imply a significant groundswell of change that may in turn change the entire industry."
These predictions are selected from more than 100 predictions that Gartner presents and reviews every year. This year s predictions include:
Even though notebooks continue to shrink in size and weight, by 2012 50 percent of traveling workers will leave their notebooks at home in favour of internet-centric pocketable devices at the sub-$400 level; and server and Web-based applications that can be accessed from anywhere.
By 2012, 80 percent of all commercial software will include elements of open-source technology. Many open-source technologies provide significant opportunities for vendors and users to lower their total cost of ownership and increase returns on investment. Embedded open source strategies will become the minimal level of investment that most large software vendors will find necessary to maintain competitive advantages during the next five years.
Endorsed and promoted by all leading business applications vendors (Oracle, SAP, Microsoft) and many Web technology leaders (Google, Amazon), the software as service model of deployment and distribution of software services will enjoy steady growth in mainstream use during the next five years.
By 2011, early technology adopters will forgo capital expenditures and instead purchase 40 percent of their IT infrastructure as a service.
Enterprise data centres are struggling to keep pace with the increasing power requirements of their infrastructures. And there is substantial potential to improve the environmental footprint, throughout the life cycle, of all IT products and services without any significant trade-offs in price or performance. By 2009, IT organizations will shift their focus from the power efficiency of products to asking service providers about their measures to improve energy efficiency.
By 2010, 75 percent of organizations will use full life cycle energy and CO2 footprint as mandatory PC hardware buying criteria. Also, by 2010, end-user preferences will decide as much as half of all software, hardware and services acquisitions made by IT.
Through 2011, the number of 3-D printers in homes and businesses will grow 100-fold over 2006 levels. Printers priced less than $10,000 have been announced for 2008, opening up the personal and hobbyist markets.
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